Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

721
ABNT20 KNHC 100528
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Francine, located about 100 miles offshore of northeastern
Mexico.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic
is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some
slight development during the next couple of days, but a tropical
depression could still form during that time while the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to merge in a couple of days with
a strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression
will likely form during the latter part of this week while the
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

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