762
ABNT20 KNHC 011143
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast continues to
produce some shower and thunderstorm activity along and just
offshore of the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is
expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and
some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless
of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across
portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in
organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as
the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western
Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time. Regardless of development,
this system could result in some gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow
development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart