Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2024
390
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PWSAT4
HURRICANE DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042024
0300 UTC MON AUG 05 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 3(16)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 7(17) 3(20)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 8(11) 8(19) 3(22)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 9(12) 8(20) 4(24)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 11(23) 6(29) 3(32)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 5( 7) 12(19) 7(26) 7(33) 5(38) 2(40)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 2(20) 3(23) 1(24)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
KINGS BAY GA 34 11 38(49) 10(59) 1(60) 2(62) 2(64) 1(65)
KINGS BAY GA 50 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
WAYCROSS GA 34 4 44(48) 7(55) X(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 13 31(44) 9(53) 1(54) 2(56) 2(58) 1(59)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
JACKSONVILLE 34 4 28(32) 5(37) X(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 63 7(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 1(71) X(71)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 19 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
THE VILLAGES 34 25 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29)
ORLANDO FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)
PATRICK AFB 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)
FT PIERCE FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
VENICE FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 78 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 61 4(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 16 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
ST MARKS FL 34 78 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
ST MARKS FL 50 39 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ST MARKS FL 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 52 1(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
APALACHICOLA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 21 3(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 1(26)
ALBANY GA 34 3 9(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
MACON GA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
DOTHAN AL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN