000
ABNT20 KNHC 180522
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 18 2023

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by
Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for gradual development of the wave thereafter, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while
the system moves westward across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near the
southeastern coast of the United States late this week. This system
could acquire some subtropical characteristics this weekend if it
remains offshore while it moves slowly northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake