Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022
000
FONT12 KNHC 162048
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
2100 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 14(24)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 19(26) 14(40)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 20(43) 8(51)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 5(18)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18) 3(21)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 32(41) 8(49) 3(52)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) 2(18)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 21(39) 3(42) 1(43)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 X 8( 8) 46(54) 11(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67)
PONCE PR 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
PONCE PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AGUADILLA PR 34 1 7( 8) 38(46) 21(67) 4(71) X(71) X(71)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 14(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X 14(14) 36(50) 5(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
VIEQUES PR 34 4 40(44) 24(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
VIEQUES PR 50 X 5( 5) 10(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
SAINT THOMAS 34 7 37(44) 13(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
SAINT THOMAS 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT JOHN 34 9 38(47) 9(56) 1(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58)
SAINT JOHN 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAINT CROIX 34 10 59(69) 9(78) X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
SAINT CROIX 50 X 18(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SAINT CROIX 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 50 11(61) 1(62) X(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABA 34 67 16(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
SABA 50 5 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 78 9(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
ST EUSTATIUS 50 8 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 88 4(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 17 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARBUDA 34 78 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
ANTIGUA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
ANTIGUA 50 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GUADELOUPE 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AVES 34 6 20(26) 1(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
DOMINICA 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
MARTINIQUE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BERG