000
ABNT20 KNHC 122317
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 12 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
Showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea have become
more organized in associated with a broad area of low pressure.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days
while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean
Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The
system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next
week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea
should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of
development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and portions of
Haiti during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci