000
ABNT20 KNHC 182345
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Fifteen, located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

North of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have become slightly better organized
since yesterday with a trough of low pressure located more than 100
miles north of Puerto Rico. Some gradual development is possible
this weekend while it moves generally westward at around 15 mph,
passing near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas. By early next
week, further development is not expected due to strong upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Hagen