000
ABNT20 KNHC 130512
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in associated with a broad area
of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while
the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea.
Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance
meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The
system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next
week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea
should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of
development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and portions of
Haiti during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci