Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024
000
FONT13 KNHC 040255
PWSAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024
0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 3(22) 1(23)
MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 4(30) 1(31)
KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) 2(19)
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16)
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 10(28)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 5(42) 1(43)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) 1(15)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 1(33) X(33)
HAVANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 51(65) 1(66) X(66)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 1(27) X(27)
ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 21(40) 1(41) X(41)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 39(42) 8(50) X(50) X(50)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) 1(18)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X 2( 2) 32(34) 6(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KINGSTON 34 X 3( 3) 13(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
