000
ABNT20 KNHC 311730
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible during the next several days across portions of the area
from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread
cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the
Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent
waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow
development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as
it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that
time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure
area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible during the next several days from the northern
Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to
eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
North Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have developed near the center of a
storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 550 miles
west of the western Azores. However, any additional development into
a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow to occur as
the system moves eastward during the next few days. Additional
information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven