784
ABNT20 KNHC 171728
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located a couple of hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain
disorganized. Some slow development is possible during the next
couple of days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands
and Puerto Rico on Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern
Bahamas on Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the
chances of development by late in the weekend. The Air Force
Hurricane Hunters are currently investigating the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Gradual development
of this system is possible over the next couple of days before it
moves inland over Central America. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America
and southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hadi