Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024
742
FONT13 KNHC 160845
PWSAT3
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082024
0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2024
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 9 7(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHERRY PT NC 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW RIVER NC 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SURF CITY NC 34 31 2(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
WILMINGTON NC 34 42 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FLORENCE SC 34 27 19(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
COLUMBIA SC 34 3 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
LITTLE RIVER 34 78 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
LITTLE RIVER 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 83 2(85) X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 91 3(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
CHARLESTON SC 34 41 5(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 12 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
