000
ABNT20 KNHC 131135
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Francine, located inland over northeastern Arkansas.

Northern Leeward Islands (AL94):
Surface observations indicate a small area of low pressure is
located over the northern Leeward Islands. The system continues to
produce showers and thunderstorms this morning, but they have not
become any better organized. Environmental conditions, including the
proximity of dry air, do not favor development of this system while
it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible
across the northern Leeward Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a frontal
boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline
this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly