000
ABNT20 KNHC 102336
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located in the western Gulf of Mexico, well offshore of
southern Texas.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally
conducive for some slight development during the next day or two
while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central
tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of
drier air on Thursday, likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing a large but disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms from near the Cabo Verde Islands extending
southwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions
appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter part of this
week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen