353
ABNT20 KNHC 010538
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing
limited shower activity along and just offshore of the coasts of
Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the
coast through much of this week, and some slow development is
possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy
rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal
Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to show some
signs of organization. Slow development is possible as the
disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on
Monday. Later this week, the wave is expected to move across the
central and western Caribbean Sea, where conditions will probably
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on
Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some
slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake