Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024
000
FONT12 KNHC 020248
PWSAT2
HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024
0300 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
140 KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 17(44) 1(45)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 19(31) X(31)
BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12)
BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 6(27) X(27)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PT GALLINAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CURACAO 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 4(22) X(22)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 53(68) X(68) X(68)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 1(35) X(35)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 11(11) 67(78) 4(82) X(82) X(82)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 42(43) 3(46) X(46) X(46)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 42(42) 46(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) 10(10) 48(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
LES CAYES 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X 8( 8) 19(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 1 53(54) 7(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
CAPE BEATA 50 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CAPE BEATA 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PONCE PR 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AGUADILLA PR 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
