Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024
000
FONT11 KNHC 182031
PWSAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012024
2100 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 950W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 6 8(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MCALLEN TX 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HARLINGEN TX 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 2 13(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PESCA MX 34 X 22(22) 37(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
LA PESCA MX 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER BERG