Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 03 2023
557
FONT12 KNHC 030245
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
0300 UTC TUE OCT 03 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 6(29)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
SAINT THOMAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT JOHN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 33 26(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABA 34 18 8(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 31 5(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 40 2(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
BARBUDA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH