000
ABNT20 KNHC 242320
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico in association with a surface trough of
low pressure and an upper-level trough. Further development, if any,
is expected to be slow to occur over the next few days while the
system moves slowly westward. By the middle of the week,
upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a broad area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a
tropical depression is now likely to form around mid-week as the
system moves west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin