000
ABNT20 KNHC 241737
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2023

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a surface trough of low pressure and
an upper-level trough. Further development, if any, is expected to
be slow to occur over the next few days while the system moves
slowly westward. By the middle of the week, upper-level winds
are forecast to become too strong for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form around mid-week while the system moves
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake