Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023
580
FONT13 KNHC 152049
PWSAT3
HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
2100 UTC FRI SEP 15 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X 19(19) 11(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 13(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
HALIFAX NS 34 4 40(44) 18(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
HALIFAX NS 50 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
YARMOUTH NS 34 56 41(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
YARMOUTH NS 50 1 77(78) 3(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X 27(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MONCTON NB 34 X 25(25) 47(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 11 60(71) 19(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
ST JOHN NB 50 X 20(20) 27(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
ST JOHN NB 64 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
EASTPORT ME 34 19 65(84) 7(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
EASTPORT ME 50 X 32(32) 10(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
EASTPORT ME 64 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 9 68(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
AUGUSTA ME 34 5 34(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
PORTLAND ME 34 7 17(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
CONCORD NH 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 8 10(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
WORCESTER MA 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
HYANNIS MA 34 57 3(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
NANTUCKET MA 34 76 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 28 7(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
HARTFORD CT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW LONDON CT 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MONTAUK POINT 34 18 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI