Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022
000
FONT14 KNHC 300249
PWSAT4
HURRICANE IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 13(13) 6(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 20(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
DANVILLE VA 34 2 45(47) 17(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
DANVILLE VA 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X 23(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 24(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 25(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 34(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
GREENSBORO NC 34 4 54(58) 15(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
RALEIGH NC 34 8 68(76) 6(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
RALEIGH NC 50 X 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ROCKY MT NC 34 9 62(71) 3(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 33 21(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 51 45(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X 34(34) 8(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 6 53(59) 8(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CHERRY PT NC 34 57 29(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 66 14(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 69 15(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 82 15(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
SURF CITY NC 50 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
WILMINGTON NC 34 92 8(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 19(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 93 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 6 31(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FLORENCE SC 34 81 18(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FLORENCE SC 50 1 67(68) 3(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
FLORENCE SC 64 X 13(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
COLUMBIA SC 34 35 43(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
LITTLE RIVER 34 94 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LITTLE RIVER 50 8 63(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 13 72(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 15 74(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 18(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHARLESTON SC 50 43 39(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
CHARLESTON SC 64 4 18(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 17 8(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
ATLANTA GA 34 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AUGUSTA GA 34 13 25(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 34 12 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
VENICE FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
