Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022
000
FONT12 KNHC 170244
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM FIONA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
0300 UTC SAT SEP 17 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 13(27)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 22(33) 11(44)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 24(30) 20(50) 7(57)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 4(23)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 5(14) 2(16)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 3(14) 1(15)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 23(39) 8(47) 3(50)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) 1(15)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 22(26) 12(38) 2(40) 1(41)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) 1(14)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PONCE PR 34 1 39(40) 30(70) 2(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73)
PONCE PR 50 X 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
PONCE PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
AGUADILLA PR 34 2 25(27) 37(64) 7(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73)
AGUADILLA PR 50 X 2( 2) 17(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN JUAN PR 34 1 43(44) 16(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
SAN JUAN PR 50 X 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
VIEQUES PR 34 21 51(72) 6(78) X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
VIEQUES PR 50 X 23(23) 4(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
VIEQUES PR 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT THOMAS 34 36 30(66) 3(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70)
SAINT THOMAS 50 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAINT THOMAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT JOHN 34 42 25(67) 2(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70)
SAINT JOHN 50 1 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
SAINT CROIX 34 58 32(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
SAINT CROIX 50 3 42(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
SAINT CROIX 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 68 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SABA 34 88 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
SABA 50 31 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
SABA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
ST EUSTATIUS 50 42 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
BARBUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANTIGUA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ANTIGUA 50 70 X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AVES 34 28 4(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
DOMINICA 34 7 X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI